Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 965.332510 1104.316502 1263.882056 1462.359340 1705.052827 1995.368968 2.373871e+03
2024-10-13 744.977782 912.219861 1123.346399 1415.535500 1819.612827 2375.104734 3.227812e+03
2024-10-20 627.884953 801.217777 1033.289036 1377.438874 1894.918011 2681.213073 4.050573e+03
2024-10-27 542.026595 712.501152 950.764365 1322.951552 1920.301145 2904.949669 4.816499e+03
2024-11-03 505.727685 684.682070 945.841783 1376.283377 2116.817837 3452.782138 6.398682e+03
2024-11-10 470.787813 653.026968 928.718739 1404.382024 2274.219070 3978.496333 8.231193e+03
2024-11-17 437.982781 619.981295 903.807675 1413.223989 2396.559237 4475.102228 1.032524e+04
2024-11-24 405.038804 582.809442 866.981284 1393.951831 2458.839931 4864.263133 1.243071e+04
2024-12-01 385.781543 565.066251 859.528718 1425.820561 2631.475092 5576.381007 1.621986e+04
2024-12-08 372.957955 556.221787 865.669365 1483.740237 2874.936350 6580.381243 2.237581e+04
2024-12-15 357.195633 540.810147 858.173808 1512.972697 3060.672018 7521.782881 2.989338e+04
2024-12-22 338.555543 518.776566 836.154769 1508.480969 3163.328732 8267.472806 3.799840e+04
2024-12-29 325.909279 506.763538 832.656244 1546.070202 3394.940259 9630.015952 5.464533e+04
2025-01-05 303.574707 475.960432 790.678822 1492.788560 3368.248781 10044.816510 6.556320e+04
2025-01-12 284.960149 450.423027 756.419551 1452.040176 3367.740533 10580.306169 8.071076e+04
2025-01-19 266.220462 423.376335 716.842985 1393.574080 3301.455037 10807.710804 9.402928e+04
2025-01-26 260.976650 420.662469 725.339983 1450.791865 3608.454057 13026.724031 1.604052e+05
2025-02-02 253.403167 412.988458 722.929358 1480.959569 3841.178159 15147.567790 2.689361e+05
2025-02-09 244.525052 402.188412 712.969551 1490.455716 4008.641173 17120.365630 4.475389e+05
2025-02-16 233.767537 387.076149 692.575810 1469.759587 4062.725071 18467.844101 6.863339e+05
2025-02-23 228.241014 381.733001 692.642496 1503.986793 4337.941213 21809.843644 1.630536e+06
2025-03-02 225.091644 380.808658 702.219453 1566.241289 4753.884072 27157.646010 7.359982e+06
2025-03-09 219.810574 375.261074 700.959760 1597.684878 5058.425771 32320.234096 6.888583e+07